By Janna Quitney Anderson
Within the early Nineties, humans anticipated the dying of privateness, an finish to the present suggestion of "property," a paperless society, 500 channels of high-definition interactive tv, international peace, and the extinction of the human race after a takeover engineered by means of clever machines. Imagining the net zeroes in on predictions in regards to the Internet's destiny and revisits prior predictions--and how they became out--to placed that imagined destiny in standpoint. Interlaced with revealing research, this compendium of innovations from stakeholders and skeptics, from George Orwell, Marshall McLuhan, and Isaac Asimov to invoice Gates, Bruce Sterling, Nicholas Negroponte, Al Gore, and so forth, combines historical past and biography with destiny visions and a glance on the social, political, and monetary outcomes of latest verbal exchange know-how. It additionally provides the heritage of communications in a nutshell, illustrating the intense impression of pervasive networks and the way they are going to swap our lives over the following century.Visit www.elon.edu/predictions/ to view a finished database that varieties the investigative foundation for this publication.
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Extra resources for Imagining the Internet: Personalities, Predictions, Perspectives
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The idea is idiotic on the face of it. Furthermore, why would any person want to use this ungainly and impracti- FROM BONFIRES AND BONGOS TO THE WEB 29 cal device when he can send a messenger to the telegraph office and have a clear written message sent to any large city in the United States? . Mr. G. Hubbard’s fanciful predictions, while they sound rosy, are based on wild-eyed imagination and lack of understanding of the technical and economic facts of the situation, and a posture of ignoring the obvious limitations of his device, which is hardly more than a toy.
All of the same statements were made in the 1990s by people who were wowed by the first-blush potential of the Internet. RADIO The Innovation: Persistence and Self-Promotion Pay Off for Marconi Radio was the next long-distance communications medium to be developed by curious minds; a wireless wonder with much more going for it than the signal fires and drum codes of early humans. Like the flash of a fire and the thumping rhythm of a drum, the electromagnetic wave of the first radio signals could broadcast a message to anyone and everyone within a certain radius.
In the competitive market, built by self-funded pioneers with no government regulation, a 20-word message could be sent 500 miles in the United States for one dollar. In the United Kingdom, where telegraph development was slower and of a higher quality, the same message would cost $7 at a shorter distance. A select group of powerful companies emerged, including Eastern Telegraph (later to become known as Cable and Wireless) in Britain and Western Union in the United States. Structure and Regulation: International Agreement Makes the System Better In France, Belgium, Russia, and other nations, the governments each controlled the telegraph business or allowed control to companies that would be responsive to government demands.
